1 00:00:05,090 --> 00:00:10,600 Business loans aren't just used for short term cash management are buying long term assets. 2 00:00:10,610 --> 00:00:13,560 Loans are a critical component of business plans. 3 00:00:13,700 --> 00:00:18,350 Financial leverage which is the use of borrowed money magnifies returns. 4 00:00:18,410 --> 00:00:23,210 Business and Investment gurus tout how you can make big money with little money of your own. 5 00:00:23,210 --> 00:00:26,390 They show how using other people's money can make you rich. 6 00:00:26,390 --> 00:00:32,930 It's true that using other people's money known by the acronym OPM can increase your returns. 7 00:00:32,930 --> 00:00:40,460 But OPM can also be like the drug OPM its highs come with crashing lows borrowing large amounts of money 8 00:00:40,520 --> 00:00:45,440 increases the risk your business may run out of cash or have big losses in a downturn. 9 00:00:45,440 --> 00:00:50,810 I'll explain how this works and how to reduce your risk. 10 00:00:50,850 --> 00:00:55,410 I'm going to go through a formula and a couple definitions but don't freak out if you don't quite follow 11 00:00:55,410 --> 00:00:56,560 all this. 12 00:00:56,700 --> 00:00:59,100 I'll show some examples in later slides. 13 00:00:59,100 --> 00:01:04,500 Even if you don't fully understand the numbers I want you to understand the concept that debt magnifies 14 00:01:04,500 --> 00:01:11,120 both returns and risk return on equity as how much the owners earn on their investment in the company 15 00:01:11,630 --> 00:01:16,190 return on assets is income divided by the assets of the company. 16 00:01:16,220 --> 00:01:19,390 It's a way of measuring how profitable the assets are. 17 00:01:19,490 --> 00:01:21,190 Those two returns are related. 18 00:01:21,260 --> 00:01:23,900 Return on equity is equal to return on assets. 19 00:01:23,900 --> 00:01:24,800 Times leverage. 20 00:01:25,310 --> 00:01:30,050 So that first Formula leads us to ask what's leverage and how do you measure it. 21 00:01:30,050 --> 00:01:33,710 Leverage refers to how much debt you have in the ROV equation. 22 00:01:33,710 --> 00:01:36,710 Leverage is measured as one plus the debt to equity ratio. 23 00:01:37,840 --> 00:01:40,620 OK so what's the debt to equity ratio. 24 00:01:40,720 --> 00:01:42,780 It's your debt divided by your equity. 25 00:01:42,790 --> 00:01:47,230 In other words it's how much you've borrowed divided by the accounting value of your company. 26 00:01:47,230 --> 00:01:52,360 A ratio of one where debt and equity are both equal means the company has borrowed as much as the owner's 27 00:01:52,360 --> 00:01:57,860 accounting value in the company borrowing more debt causes the debt to equity ratio to go up. 28 00:01:57,970 --> 00:02:01,210 Like I said your head may be swimming a little from the formulas. 29 00:02:01,540 --> 00:02:03,870 Here's an important concept from the formula. 30 00:02:03,910 --> 00:02:08,260 Leverage by itself doesn't increase your return on equity but it does magnify it. 31 00:02:08,890 --> 00:02:14,260 Here's another way of saying this borrowing money doesn't increase the return to the owners but it magnifies 32 00:02:14,260 --> 00:02:14,940 it. 33 00:02:14,950 --> 00:02:15,780 So what do I mean. 34 00:02:15,780 --> 00:02:18,090 It magnifies return on equity. 35 00:02:18,310 --> 00:02:23,260 If your return on assets is highly positive borrowing money usually makes the return to the owners the 36 00:02:23,290 --> 00:02:24,370 ROV go up. 37 00:02:24,850 --> 00:02:30,220 However if the return on assets is negative borrowing money will make the return to owners to become 38 00:02:30,220 --> 00:02:31,890 much more negative. 39 00:02:31,900 --> 00:02:38,240 I'll show two examples to explain this more let's look at how leveraging a company magnifies its return 40 00:02:38,240 --> 00:02:39,320 on equity. 41 00:02:39,320 --> 00:02:43,340 In this example the company has one million dollars in assets. 42 00:02:43,340 --> 00:02:47,630 They have a few miscellaneous liabilities like accounts payable but no business loans. 43 00:02:47,630 --> 00:02:50,810 Their debt to equity is a very low point one 1. 44 00:02:50,840 --> 00:02:55,970 Their profit is one hundred thousand dollars so they have a return on assets are a way of 10 percent 45 00:02:56,020 --> 00:03:02,740 and a return on equity or ROIC of eleven point one percent the owners then decide to get bank loans 46 00:03:02,740 --> 00:03:06,430 to invest in company assets to magnify the return on equity. 47 00:03:06,430 --> 00:03:07,940 This is the second column. 48 00:03:08,080 --> 00:03:12,400 They borrow two million dollars so the total assets are now three million dollars. 49 00:03:12,400 --> 00:03:17,450 For simplicity let's assume they still earn 10 percent on their assets before interest costs. 50 00:03:17,680 --> 00:03:21,320 Their profit before interest expense is three hundred thousand dollars. 51 00:03:21,340 --> 00:03:23,820 Assume the loan has a 7 percent interest rate. 52 00:03:23,980 --> 00:03:26,950 They would pay one hundred and forty thousand dollars of interest expense. 53 00:03:26,980 --> 00:03:30,610 So their net income is one hundred and sixty thousand dollars. 54 00:03:30,610 --> 00:03:35,440 Their return on assets decreased from 10 percent to 5 percent because they now have to pay interest 55 00:03:35,440 --> 00:03:37,970 on the cash they got to fund the additional assets. 56 00:03:37,990 --> 00:03:44,850 However the return on equity has jumped from eleven point one percent to seventeen point eight percent. 57 00:03:44,870 --> 00:03:50,910 In other words leverage cut their archway in half but increase their ROIC by 60 percent. 58 00:03:50,930 --> 00:03:53,050 The owners are making a lot more money. 59 00:03:53,120 --> 00:03:53,930 What could go wrong 60 00:04:06,370 --> 00:04:07,260 once again. 61 00:04:07,300 --> 00:04:10,820 Leverage doesn't increase ROIC it magnifies it. 62 00:04:10,900 --> 00:04:15,540 Many business owners hear about how leveraging using other people's money can make them rich. 63 00:04:15,580 --> 00:04:22,150 That assumes a decent on leveraged are a way a lower negative archway can cause massive negative ROV 64 00:04:22,150 --> 00:04:23,650 and cash outflows. 65 00:04:23,650 --> 00:04:26,730 The dark side of leverage is shown in this example. 66 00:04:26,800 --> 00:04:29,560 Our sample company is now earning a small loss. 67 00:04:29,560 --> 00:04:32,210 The first column shows their results with no leverage. 68 00:04:32,290 --> 00:04:36,700 They have an hour away of negative 1 percent and an army of negative 1 percent. 69 00:04:36,700 --> 00:04:41,080 Their net loss is ten thousand dollars which is probably fairly manageable with one million dollars 70 00:04:41,080 --> 00:04:44,170 in assets and nine hundred thousand dollars in equity. 71 00:04:44,170 --> 00:04:49,570 Now look at the leverage column they have three times as many assets so their lost before interest is 72 00:04:49,570 --> 00:04:51,190 three times larger. 73 00:04:51,190 --> 00:04:56,140 A thirty thousand dollar loss may not hurt them too badly but they also a one hundred and forty thousand 74 00:04:56,140 --> 00:04:57,430 dollars in interest. 75 00:04:57,430 --> 00:05:03,670 There are way after leverage is minus 6 percent and there are we as a negative 19 percent. 76 00:05:03,760 --> 00:05:10,720 To summarize a small negative way an ROV with no leverage has been magnified into a massive negative 77 00:05:10,720 --> 00:05:12,280 ROV through leverage. 78 00:05:12,280 --> 00:05:16,780 There are we with leverage is 17 times lower than without leverage. 79 00:05:16,780 --> 00:05:18,330 The biggest problem isn't earnings. 80 00:05:18,370 --> 00:05:19,660 It's cash flow. 81 00:05:19,660 --> 00:05:23,130 Companies fail from lack of cash flow not lack of earnings. 82 00:05:23,140 --> 00:05:28,240 Most owners plow the full two million dollars of borrowed money into non liquid assets like real estate 83 00:05:28,240 --> 00:05:34,000 or equipment non liquid assets or assets that cannot be easily sold or otherwise turned in the cash 84 00:05:35,010 --> 00:05:39,300 they may have even used some of their cash when they had only one million dollar in assets as their 85 00:05:39,300 --> 00:05:42,580 down payment or equity portion of those illiquid assets. 86 00:05:42,720 --> 00:05:47,940 They may have nowhere near the cash left to service a one hundred and seventy thousand dollar loss as 87 00:05:47,940 --> 00:05:48,740 a banker. 88 00:05:48,810 --> 00:05:52,000 I saw this happen with many business owners during the Great Recession. 89 00:05:52,140 --> 00:05:56,850 Real estate investors and owners who made big expansions before the downturn were caught with little 90 00:05:56,850 --> 00:06:00,560 cash and big payments. 91 00:06:00,690 --> 00:06:05,640 To put this all together you must balance both profit and risk when deciding how much to borrow and 92 00:06:05,640 --> 00:06:07,890 how to use the cash from that borrowing. 93 00:06:07,890 --> 00:06:12,240 Borrowing funds to increase your investments and grow your company can cause the return to owners to 94 00:06:12,240 --> 00:06:13,550 greatly increase. 95 00:06:13,650 --> 00:06:16,530 On the other hand the return to owners is decimated. 96 00:06:16,560 --> 00:06:19,710 If the investments start earning low or negative returns. 97 00:06:19,710 --> 00:06:22,070 More importantly than earnings is cash flow. 98 00:06:22,080 --> 00:06:26,110 When you have decent income from investments it's not hard to cover your loan payments. 99 00:06:26,130 --> 00:06:30,320 You will need to have a good reserve of cash available for your loan payments when earnings falter though. 100 00:06:30,780 --> 00:06:36,120 I encourage you to keep a larger reserve of cash as your borrowing increases the increased borrowing 101 00:06:36,180 --> 00:06:40,190 increases both your profits and your risk over the long term. 102 00:06:40,230 --> 00:06:45,360 The cash reserve will allow you to keep most of the profits and reduce your risk using leverage and 103 00:06:45,360 --> 00:06:50,280 keeping reserves mean you will receive higher returns during the good times while covering your loan 104 00:06:50,280 --> 00:06:52,220 payments and losses during the rough times.